Recently, my security team prevented a data breach—not by catching someone stealing data, but by predicting they would attempt it days before they actually tried. It wasn’t luck. We had something more ...

Your friend says to you: "I bet you $100 that in 2016 a Democrat will be elected as president of the USA." Would you take such a wager? Why or why not? You might think gambling is wrong. You might ...

Mathematicians may have a better way to measure agreement across different datasets. Agreement affects reproducibility, meta-analysis, and prediction to fill in missing data points. We need a more ...

Prediction markets have moved from a niche academic concept into one of the fastest-growing areas of modern market infrastructure. Once confined to election forecasting and small experimental ...

A 1989 demo imagined what houses of the future might look like. Some predictions were closer than you’d think.

Humans have always been fascinated by the prospect of knowing the future. Astrology has always been a part of the quest for understanding and comfort, from ancient societies studying the stars to ...